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08-18-2008, 12:47 PM
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#16
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Test Tickel
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: houston, texas
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Re: Cheney’s Office Pressured EPA Over Regulating Greenhouse Gases
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Originally Posted by ravenshrike
Right, um you do realize that A.) Ice core data is inherently unreliable from a scientific standpoint because in order to obtain the samples we change the sample adding heat, current atmospheric conditions, and a reduction in pressure and B.) the CO2 increase follows the temperature change by quite a large length of time and is rather easily explained away by the fact that the oceans hold less gases as the temperature warms. The reason for large length of time is that it takes that long for a temperature cycle to affect the ocean depths.
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That is not how ice cores work at all..... Gases or liquids are trapped and you can measure the gas compisition when it is released... They also check various elements for decay, like carbon dating....
The lenth of them is due to a very high spacific heat which is unique to water.... The lag time is aprox 55 years...........
The oceans are warmer now than they were in the 1950s, but hold much more co2, due to the fact that there is more co2 in the atmosphere.... This is changing the PH of the oceans and is driving a dieoff in the oceans... Current 'sea food' populations and 10% of their numbers 75 years ago... Coral are disolving............
Lastly, we use mud cores in addition to icecores, and those do not get heated.... And get the same results....
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08-20-2008, 01:09 PM
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#17
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whore
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: LF
Posts: 138/0.09
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Re: Cheney’s Office Pressured EPA Over Regulating Greenhouse Gases
http://www.john-daly.com/zjiceco2.htm
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Determinations of CO2 in polar ice cores are commonly used for estimations of the pre-industrial CO2 atmospheric levels. Perusal of these determinations convinced me that glaciological studies are not able to provide a reliable reconstruction of CO2 concentrations in the ancient atmosphere. This is because the ice cores do not fulfill the essential closed system criteria. One of them is a lack of liquid water in ice, which could dramatically change the chemical composition the air bubbles trapped between the ice crystals. This criterion, is not met, as even the coldest Antarctic ice (down to -73°C) contains liquid water[2]. More than 20 physico-chemical processes, mostly related to the presence of liquid water, contribute to the alteration of the original chemical composition of the air inclusions in polar ice[3].
One of these processes is formation of gas hydrates or clathrates. In the highly compressed deep ice all air bubbles disappear, as under the influence of pressure the gases change into the solid clathrates, which are tiny crystals formed by interaction of gas with water molecules. Drilling decompresses cores excavated from deep ice, and contaminates them with the drilling fluid filling the borehole. Decompression leads to dense horizontal cracking of cores, by a well known sheeting process. After decompression of the ice cores, the solid clathrates decompose into a gas form, exploding in the process as if they were microscopic grenades. In the bubble-free ice the explosions form a new gas cavities and new cracks[4]. Through these cracks, and cracks formed by sheeting, a part of gas escapes first into the drilling liquid which fills the borehole, and then at the surface to the atmospheric air. Particular gases, CO2, O2 and N2 trapped in the deep cold ice start to form clathrates, and leave the air bubbles, at different pressures and depth. At the ice temperature of -15°C dissociation pressure for N2 is about 100 bars, for O2 75 bars, and for CO2 5 bars. Formation of CO2 clathrates starts in the ice sheets at about 200 meter depth, and that of O2 and N2 at 600 to 1000 meters. This leads to depletion of CO2 in the gas trapped in the ice sheets. This is why the records of CO2 concentration in the gas inclusions from deep polar ice show the values lower than in the contemporary atmosphere, even for the epochs when the global surface temperature was higher than now.
The data from shallow ice cores, such as those from Siple, Antarctica[5, 6], are widely used as a proof of man-made increase of CO2 content in the global atmosphere, notably by IPCC[7]. These data show a clear inverse correlation between the decreasing CO2 concentrations, and the load-pressure increasing with depth (Figure 1 A) . The problem with Siple data (and with other shallow cores) is that the CO2 concentration found in pre-industrial ice from a depth of 68 meters (i.e. above the depth of clathrate formation) was "too high". This ice was deposited in 1890 AD, and the CO2 concentration was 328 ppmv, not about 290 ppmv, as needed by man-made warming hypothesis. The CO2 atmospheric concentration of about 328 ppmv was measured at Mauna Loa, Hawaii as later as in 1973[8], i.e. 83 years after the ice was deposited at Siple.
An ad hoc assumption, not supported by any factual evidence[3, 9], solved the problem: the average age of air was arbitrary decreed to be exactly 83 years younger than the ice in which it was trapped. The "corrected" ice data were then smoothly aligned with the Mauna Loa record (Figure 1 B) , and reproduced in countless publications as a famous "Siple curve". Only thirteen years later, in 1993, glaciologists attempted to prove experimentally the "age assumption"[10], but they failed[9].
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Don't know what I'm talking about indeed.
Note the presence of liquid water invalidates CO2 measurements.
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08-20-2008, 07:55 PM
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#18
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Test Tickel
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: houston, texas
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Re: Cheney’s Office Pressured EPA Over Regulating Greenhouse Gases
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Originally Posted by ravenshrike
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As I said, they use mud core samples, in addition, they can determine co2 concentrations for time periods by examining fossils of plants and by measuring the number of pours specifically designed to absorb co2..... There are dozens more ways of determining co2 levels as well...... Rings in trees will also help.......
If you had only one way to determine co2 levels and nothing to collaborate these calculations you could be right, but when you have dozens of pieces of data collabotating what the mud cores, ice core, fossil records, mineral deposits, etc, you should question your source that is trying to discredit a very sound methodology of calculating atmospheric composition.......
And again, can you come up with a global warming period that did not have high levels of co2????
And next, can you explain how you can dump billions of tons of gasses into the atmosphere, annually, and expect no changes?
And a little info on the author of the post you copied a link to:
Jaworowski is a global warming skeptic.
His works on ice cores were published in Jaworowski (1994, 1992) and in reports Jaworowski (1990, 1992).
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Jaworowski has suggested that the long-term CO2 record is an artifact caused by the structural changes of the ice with depth and by postcoring processes. However, increases in CO2 and CH4 concentrations in the Vostok core are similar for the last two glacial-interglacial transitions, even though only the most recent transition is located in the brittle zone. Such evidence argues that the atmospheric trace-gas signal is not strongly affected by the presence of the brittle zone. [1]
Similarly Hans Oeschger [2] states that "...Some of (Jaworowski's) statements are drastically wrong from the physical point of view".
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Stephen Schneider said of him that "Jaworowski is perhaps even more contrarian than most, claiming that he can prove the climate is going to get colder through his work excavating glaciers on six different continents, which he says indicates what we should really be worrying about is 'The approaching new Ice Age...'."[2] Jaworowski wrote The current sunspot cycle is weaker than the preceding cycles, and the next two cycles will be even weaker. Bashkirtsev and Mishnich (2003)[3] expect that the minimum of the secular cycle of solar activity will occur between 2021 and 2026, which will result in the minimum global temperature of the surface air. The shift from warm to cool climate might have already started..
When approached to see if he would bet on future cooling, Jaworowski denied making any prediction, stating "I do not make my own detailed projections. In my paper I referred the reader to B&M paper, and that is all."[3]
Jaworowski published several papers (Jaworowski, 2007; Jaworowski, 1999; Jaworowski, 1997) in 21st Century Science and Technology, a non-refereed magazine published by Lyndon LaRouche.[4]
Jaworowski has also written that the movement to remove lead from gasoline was based on a "stupid and fraudulent myth," and that lead levels in the human bloodstream are not significantly affected by the use of leaded gasoline. [5]
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You also need to understand that this man is not arguing that there is not link between co2 and warming, he is trying to say that the co2 now is nearly the same as co2 before 1850!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! The amount of co2 has increased by nearly 35 parts per billion in my lifetime, which would lead a pre-schooler to believe he is wrong..........
Also, if this guy is who you are relying on, he is trying to say we are heading to a cooling of the planet, and he maybe right..... And it does not matter, a drastic change in climate in either direction will make the planet hostile to the life that has been evolving for the past 90 million years............
Lastly, I never said you do not know what you are talking about, I only asked for more information.............. 
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08-20-2008, 11:42 PM
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#19
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whore
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: LF
Posts: 138/0.09
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Re: Cheney’s Office Pressured EPA Over Regulating Greenhouse Gases
Um, no, he's not saying that CO2 levels have stayed the same at all. Rather, he's saying that the 1800's measure is flawed, and presents his reasoning for such an argument, something you have failed to do in attempting to refute him(unless you're willing to explain why Callendar cherry picked his measurements) as well as the fact that the low levels were not constant as the stomata records from the Holocene show. In point of fact, the stomata records for plants we have current live examples of all disagree with the ice core measurements. Also, mud, it's made of dirt and liquid water. This means that any chemical reactions present in ice core data, are also present in mud core data.
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08-23-2008, 10:19 AM
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#20
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Test Tickel
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: houston, texas
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Re: Cheney’s Office Pressured EPA Over Regulating Greenhouse Gases
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Originally Posted by ravenshrike
Um, no, he's not saying that CO2 levels have stayed the same at all. Rather, he's saying that the 1800's measure is flawed, and presents his reasoning for such an argument, something you have failed to do in attempting to refute him(unless you're willing to explain why Callendar cherry picked his measurements) as well as the fact that the low levels were not constant as the stomata records from the Holocene show. In point of fact, the stomata records for plants we have current live examples of all disagree with the ice core measurements. Also, mud, it's made of dirt and liquid water. This means that any chemical reactions present in ice core data, are also present in mud core data.
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Thank you for bringing up Callendar, because Jaworowski actually has the spectacular brass to take a figure from a paper that agreed with Callendar’s choice of data, redraw it and offer it as evidence that Callendar was biased!
Now lets look at you article in depth.....
1) I can find no evidence that Jaworowski gave testimony before the US Senate on March 19, 2004!!!!!!!! This is the first problem with the paper, and it has not even started!
2) When we look for Jaworowski in the literature, he seems never to have done any primary research on the extraction and measurement of gases in ice. Later on, Jaworowski says that climate researchers’ motives are suspect. But when it suits his purposes, he is happy to claim to be a climate researcher.
3) Mulvaney, Wolff and Oates were reporting on concentrations of H2SO4 in extremely tiny volumes at the boundaries between ice crystals. Many of Jaworowski’s claims reveal a lack of understanding of the relevant chemistry, but it is unlikely that even he believes that significant quantities of CO2 are dissolved in these interstitial volumes.
4) Jaworowski describes the clathrate transformation in a fundamentally misleading way. With increasing depth and pressure, the air bubbles trapped in the ice are steadily compressed. Clathrates appear at depths of several hundred meters (700 - 1300m for GRIP), and coexist with air bubbles over a wide range of depths, until all air bubbles disappear reported that “air bubbles disappeared completely between 1500 and 1600m. Upon decompression, the clathrate crystals revert to gas, with the bubbles expanding as the ice relaxes. These physical processes, as well as the fractionation Jaworowski describes, have been extensively studied, and are routinely taken into account in reconstructing atmospheric records from ice cores.
5) Jaworowski knows perfectly well that drilling fluids, for example butyl acetate, are chosen to have minimal interaction with the studies that will be performed; also, that sample handling is a well worked-out technique and is conducted with excruciating care. Most of these developments were in place long before Jaworowski wrote his 1994 paper, as Hans Oeschger reminded him at that time. That he continues to spread this falsehood is disgraceful.
6) Jaworowski eludes on that clathrate crystals “explode”, presumably fracturing the samples beyond usefulness. He cites Shoji and Langway (1983) as support for the statement “In the bubble-free ice the explosions form a new gas cavities and new cracks.” But what Shoji and Langway actually observed was the expansion of pre-existing bubbles, and new bubbles from air hydrate inclusions, over a period of days — in what would have to qualify as one of the most languid “explosions” on record.
7) It is puzzling that Jaworowski makes claims that are so easily checked and shown to be untrue. CO2 levels vary widely within deep cores, and are well correlated with climatic changes, as indicated by independent measures such as (for example) the type and composition of organic residue in ocean sediments.
8) The CO2 record from Siple, Antarctica shows an increase from 275 ppm to 315 ppm from around 1750 to 1950 AD. Atmospheric measurements beginning in 1958 agree well with those from the ice cores, reinforcing the conclusion that CO2 has indeed been rising over the last two centuries. But Jaworowski argues that the lower concentrations of CO2 with increasing depth and age should actually be seen as a reduction in CO2 concentrations with increasing depth and pressure. The Siple data to which he refers could be interpreted either way, since CO2 continues to drop all the way down to the lowest level sampled. Jaworowski’s vague theory of CO2 concentration in ice cores being determined by depth has a superficial plausibility, which is why he invoked it in connection to Siple. But it won’t stand up to scrutiny, which is why he doesn’t dwell on it.
9) The experiments demonstrating the age of the firn-ice transition, and of the air trapped above and below that depth, have been quite successful, a fact Jaworowski has been diligently ignoring at least since 1992.
10) There are huge problem with Jaworowski's study of stomatal frequency,this is one of the few new arguments — that is, not just warmed over from the 1992 paper — made in this statement. Unfortunately for Jaworowski, it is bogus. In fact, studies of stomatal response to CO2 concentration across several species have shown “Without evolutionary changes, SI and SD may not respond to atmospheric [CO2] in the field and are unlikely to decrease in a future high CO2 world.” In other words, stomatal frequency does not change quickly enough to reveal the rapid changes Jaworowski claims occurred.
11) Jaworowski’s contempt for climatologists, and his true purpose in writing this paper, become clearer as he approaches its end. He offers zero evidence that there has been “[i]mproper manipulation, and arbitrary rejection of readings that do not fit the pre-conceived idea on man-made global warming … in many glaciological studies of greenhouse gases.” In fact, the very papers that he cites afford powerful evidence to the contrary. Yet he feels comfortable in making this blanket condemnation of a discipline, because he has support from Zbigniew Jaworowski, of course! In citing (yet again) his 1992 and 1994 papers, he displays a certain pride in having “exposed” all the bad behavior in the climate science community. But his pride may be misplaced, considering that the only comment ESPR published regarding his 1994 paper said that it “deserves little attention.”
12) Among Jaworowski’s citations, this is my very favorite. Jaworowski knows he has a problem when the overwhelming majority of scientists in the field do not believe as he does. He is not the first to notice this, so he does what others have done in the same situation: he implies that climate researchers are all biased in the same direction because they slurp from the same trough. This an implausible accusation on its face (there is more money to be made arguing the other side); moreover, there is no evidence to support it. Nevertheless, Jaworowski asserts boldly that outsiders are far more reliable than the experts corrupted by the fount of government money, and who does he offer as an example? The gang that couldn’t compute straight!
When choosing an authority to counter the accepted ones in an observational science, it is usually smart to pick one that can tell the difference between degrees and radians.
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08-23-2008, 09:44 PM
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#21
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whore
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: LF
Posts: 138/0.09
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Re: Cheney’s Office Pressured EPA Over Regulating Greenhouse Gases
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Originally Posted by ddoubleez
12) Among Jaworowski’s citations, this is my very favorite. Jaworowski knows he has a problem when the overwhelming majority of scientists in the field do not believe as he does. He is not the first to notice this, so he does what others have done in the same situation: he implies that climate researchers are all biased in the same direction because they slurp from the same trough. This an implausible accusation on its face (there is more money to be made arguing the other side); moreover, there is no evidence to support it. Nevertheless, Jaworowski asserts boldly that outsiders are far more reliable than the experts corrupted by the fount of government money, and who does he offer as an example? The gang that couldn’t compute straight!
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? Really? More money to be made arguing against CO2 driven global warming? I'm gonna have to see cites for this, because the last time I checked entire industries have sprung up about the reverse being assumed true, notwithstanding all the government money being thrown at it since the '70s. One or two people making more money is by and far not any kind of evidence that more money is being made.
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08-24-2008, 11:10 AM
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#22
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Test Tickel
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: houston, texas
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Re: Cheney’s Office Pressured EPA Over Regulating Greenhouse Gases
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Originally Posted by ravenshrike
? Really? More money to be made arguing against CO2 driven global warming? I'm gonna have to see cites for this, because the last time I checked entire industries have sprung up about the reverse being assumed true, notwithstanding all the government money being thrown at it since the '70s. One or two people making more money is by and far not any kind of evidence that more money is being made.
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Out of all the points made, you pick this one......  First, you need to realize that those making the money right now are at an advantage with a deregulated energy sector... Next you need to understand that all the lobbying is for keeping restriction off of greenhouse gases, and this is BILLIONS of dollars that are going to the very few that will stand up and risk a planet for their pocket.... There is no funding and no companies making a trillion per year, trying to slow down the economy and build wind farms.... Oil has a big enough hand in government, they can use our military at the cost of the taxpayers....... Our government with an administration that is almost 100% oil men and women, do not fund research supporting the co2 climate change relationship, so where do you think this money is coming from if you think there is money in supporting global warming..... Lastly, there are so many scientists on-board with co2 and global warming, even if there were funding it would be spread so thin, it would not have the power corupt.... And please cite where you got info on people profiting on my side.........
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Organization Receiving ExxonMobil Funding 2003 2004 2005
Competitive Enterprise Institute $870,000 $270,000 $270,000
American Enterprise Institute $485,000 $230,000 $240,000
American Council for Capital Formation $444,523 $255,000 $360,000
Frontiers of Freedom $282,000 $250,000 $140,000
George C. Marshall Institute $185,000 $170,000 $115,000
National Center for Policy Analysis $105,000 $75,000 $75,000
Tech Central Station Science Foundation $95,000*
Heartland Institute $92,500* $100,000 $119,000
Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow $72,000* $125,000 $90,000
Fraser Institute $60,000* $60,000
International Policy Network $50,000* $115,000 $130,000
Center for Study of Carbon Dioxide & Global Change $40,000* $25,000
American Council on Science and Health $35,000 $15,000 $25,000
Annapolis Center for Science-Based Public Policy $27,500* $75,000 $30,000
Cato Institute $25,000* $15,000
Consumer Alert $25,000 $25,000
Independent Institute $20,000 $30,000
Advancement of Sound Science $20,000 $10,000
*These numbers are for the year 2003 alone.
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News program if you have realplayer:
http://play.rbn.com/?url=demnow/dem...tsp&start=14:10
http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warmin...irrors-hot.html
http://www.climatesciencewatch.org/...e_exxon_report/
Scientists' Report Documents ExxonMobil’s Tobacco-like Disinformation Campaign on Global Warming Science
Oil Company Spent Nearly $16 Million to Fund Skeptic Groups, Create Confusion
http://www.ucsusa.org/news/press_re...ng-tobacco.html
http://www.climatesciencewatch.org/...r_exxon_letter/
http://www.edf.org/article.cfm?ContentID=4870
http://www.democracynow.org/2005/4/..._funding_global
http://www.paulloeb.org/articles/Exxon.html
http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/200..._misreprese.php
If you would like more sources, please let me know!!! 
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> Banter
> Edge of the Hole
Cheney’s Office Pressured EPA Over Regulating Greenhouse Gases
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